Ambers on the Peach State:
A Republican who is tracking the data predicts that black voters will make up 35-36% of the electorate — C + 5.
A claim backed up the early voting statistics so far, which break down the electorate as 60.7% white and 35.6% black.
Pollster currently shows Obama down 5.4% in the state, but all the polls that release demographic breakdowns place black turnout at around 26-27%. Rejigger the results for 35% black turnout and Obama surges into a lead of anywhere from one to five points.