Some readers have complained about the online spreadsheet lagging, so here’s an updated version available for download (.xls). There’s one new feature: you can change overall voter turnout and allocate the new voters however you like.
We ran a test scenario: increase turnout by twenty percent over ’04 and give the new voters 2:1 to Obama. Results after the jump:
*Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, New Mexico, and Ohio – a combined 73 electoral votes – turn blue. Keeping everything else constant from 2004, Obama would win the election 325-213.
*McCain’s lead in Missouri (11 EV) dwindles to 0.54%; in Virginia (13), 1.40%.