This weekend, there are four contests on the Democratic side: Nebraska, Washington, and Louisiana on Saturday, and Maine on Sunday.
Nebraska: The Cornhusker State holds a caucus, a format which Obama has dominated during this campaign. Of the eight caucuses held so far, Obama has dropped only one, Nevada. He has the support of Senator Ben Nelson, as well as the mayors of Omaha and Lincoln.
Louisiana: The Bayou State, which conducts a primary, has a significant African-American population (32 percent according to the 2000 census). Given Obama’s dominance among that crucial bloc, he’s well-positioned for victory.
Washington: The state holds caucuses, a test of organization that bodes well for Obama. The demographic breakdown is also favorable to him, as the expected electorate is an educated, affluent group. However, two factors keep Hillary in the running. One, she has the support of the party establishment, including Senator Patty Murray. Another, the state has a strong history of electing women – both senators and the governor are female.
Maine: Although a caucus, this state is the best opportunity for Hillary to pick up a victory. A couple of points: 1) She has the support of Governor John Baldacci along with a majority of the state legislators. 2) Like Washington, Maine has a long tradition of electing women; Washington, Maine, and California are the only states with two female senators. 3) Maine’s white Democrats are overwhelmingly working-class, a demographic where Obama has had trouble drawing support away Hillary.