Polling Roundup

Out of Wisconsin, Strategic Vision has a new poll. On the Republican side, Rudy Giuliani leads with 22%. Tommy Thompson, former governor of the state and still popular there, comes in second with 16% of the vote. The number is probably low due to concern about Thompson’s viability as a candidate to break into the top tier. On the Democratic side, Clinton – 38%, Obama – 25%, and Edwards – 17%.

Clinton leads Obama 45%-17% in Florida, a state currently in flux on its status in the Democratic primaries. Having moved its primary up to January 29th, Florida faces sanctions from both major parties. Jon Ausman, a member of the DNC, says the chance is much higher than 50-50 that the election is non-binding.

In California, Clinton leads Obama 37%-28% with Edwards at 15%. The Republican race is much tighter with Giuliani leading McCain 27%-24%.

A national poll from Marist has Clinton more than doubling Obama, 35%-17%, and Edwards places a close third at 15%. 60% of Clinton’s supporters indicate a firm commitment to her, 21% of all Democratic voters. Giuliani leads McCain 28-18%. However, Republican primary voters are much more uncertain about their candidates, with only 30% of Giuliani’s backers firmly committed to him.

In the same Marist poll, 52% of Republicans and 52% of independents say Giuliani’s pro-choice, pro-gun control, pro-gun rights positions make them less likely to vote for him.


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